![[logo] US EPA](http://www.epa.gov/epafiles/images/logo_epaseal.gif){kind=logo}
Kristen M. Foley, Ph.D.
AMD Staff Education:
- Ph.D. in Statistics, North Carolina State University (2006)
- M.S. in Statistics, North Carolina State University (2003)
- B.S. in Statistics, North Carolina State University (2001)
Professional Experience:
April 2007 - present - Statistician, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC
September 2006 - April 2007 - Post-Doc, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC
Publications:
Foley, K.M., Roselle, S.J., Appel, K.W., Bhave, P.V., Pleim, J.E., Otte, T.L., Mathur, R., Sarwar, G., Young, Y.O., Gilliam, R.C., Nolte, C.G., Kelly, J.T., Gilliland, A.B., Bash, J.O. Incremental testing of the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) Modeling System Version 4.7, submitted to Geoscientific Model Development.
Kelly, J.T., Nolte, C.G., Shankar, U., Foley, K.M., Bhave, P.V. Simulating emission and chemical evolution of coarse sea-salt particles in the community multiscale air quality model. in preparation .
Golden, H.E., Knights, C.D., Cooter, E.J., Dennis R.L., Gilliam, R.C., Foley, K.M.. Linking atmosphere and watershed models: Implications of spatially-explicit precipitation on runoff response, submitted to Water Resources Research.
Swall, J.L., Foley, K.M. The impact of spatial correlation and incommensurability on model evaluation. Atmospheric Environment, Vol. 43, 1204 - 1217.
Pinder, R.W., Gilliam, R.C., Appel, K.W., Napelenok, S.L., Foley, K.M., Gilliland, A.B. Efficient probabilistic estimates of surface ozone concentration using an ensemble of model configurations and direct sensitivity calculations, Environmental Science & Technology, Vol. 43, 2388 - 2393.
Davis, J.M., Bhave, P.V., Foley, K.M., 2008. Parameterization of the N2O5 Reaction Probability on the Surface of Particles Containing Ammonium, Sulfate, and Nitrate, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 8, 5295 – 5311.
Irwin, J., Civerlo, K., Hogrefe, C., Appel, K.W., Foley, K.M., Swall, J.L., 2008. A procedure for inter-comparing the skill of regional-scale air quality model simulations of daily maximum 8-hour ozone values. Atmospheric Environment, Vol. 42, 5403 - 5412.
Gilliland, A.B., Hogrefe, C., Pinder, R.W., Godowitch, J., Foley, K.M., Rao, S.T., 2008. Dynamic evaluation of regional air quality models: Assessing changes in O3 stemming from changes in emissions and meteorology. Atmospheric Environment, Vol. 42, 5110 - 5123.
Foley, K.M., Fuentes, M., 2008. A statistical framework to combine multivariate spatial data and physical models for hurricane surface wind prediction. Journal of Agricultural, Biological & Environmental Statistics, Vol. 13, 37 - 59.
Foley, K.M., Fuentes, M., 2008. Hurricane Wind Fields, Multivariate Modeling. Encyclopedia of GIS, Springer-Verlag, New York, pp. 448 - 461.
Xie, L., Bao, S., Pietrafesa, L., Foley, K.M., Fuentes, M., 2005. A real-time hurricane surface wind forecasting model: Formulation and verification. Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 134, 1355 - 1370.
Selected Presentations:
Foley, K.M., Pinder, R.W., Napelenok, S.L. Supporting air quality management decisions for ozone with an ensemble of air quality model simulations, Joint Statistical Meeting, Washington D.C., August 2009.
Foley, K.M., Pinder, R.W., Napelenok, S.L., Frey, H.C. Probabilistic Estimates of Ozone Concentrations from an Ensemble of CMAQ Simulations, poster for Models-3 Users' Conference, Chapel Hill, October 2008.
Foley, K.M., Garcia, V., Rao, S. T., Holland, D. Providing better characterization of ambient air quality for exposure modeling and public health risk assessment. 17th Annual ISEA Conference, Durham, October 2007.
Foley, K.M., Swall, J.L. Statistical methods for model evaluation - moving beyond the comparison of matched observations and output for model grid cells, poster for Models-3 Users' Conference, Chapel Hill, October 2007.
Foley, K.M., Fuentes, M. A Bayesian framework to combine multivariate spatial data and physical models for hurricane surface wind prediction. 166th Annual Joint Statistical Meeting, Seattle, WA, August 2006.
Foley, K.M. Multivariate Spatial Statistical Models for Coastal Ocean Prediction. Statistics Department Student Seminar Series, North Carolina State University, January 2006.
Awards:
- AMAD Best Paper Award, 2009
- U.S. EPA Bronze Medal for Commendable Service, 2008
- American Statistical Association Section on Bayesian Statistical Science (SBSS) Student Paper Award, 2006