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FY 1999 Great Lakes Projects
Ecosystem Model for Saginaw Bay
| A Coupled Benthic-Pelagic Ecosystem Model for
Saginaw Bay (GL985600-02-0: $74,870) |
| Recipient: The Research Foundation of State
University of New York (SUNY) |
| Project Period:9/1/99 to 8/31/00 |
| Project Officer: Duane Heaton (312-886-6399) |
The overall goal of this project is to develop a mass balance modeling
tool to quantify the relationship between external phosphorus loads and
zebra mussel densities (ecosystem stressors) and benthic and pelagic
production and biomass (ecosystem responses). Expected outcomes of the
work will be (1) a better quantitative understanding of ecosystem
stress-response relationships and benthic-pelagic coupling in the Saginaw
Bay ecosystem and (2) forecasts of possible future states of the bay as a
result of changes in external stressors such as nutrient loads and zebra
mussel densities and size structure. This project will draw upon results
from a previous GLNPO grant to develop an aquatic ecosystem modeling
framework for Saginaw Bay, integrating the various processes involving
nutrient-phytoplankton-zebra mussel-PCB dynamics. |
